Dec 23, 2019

KECL Kirloskar Electrical Company Lts: A MULTIBAGGER STOCK TO STUDY (BUY/SELL/MULTIBAGGER/OUTPERFORMER/OUTLOOK _ Be and Make)



KECL (Kirloskar Electric): A MULTI BAGGER STOCK TO STUDY!
(BUY/SELL/HOLD/MULTIBAGGER/OUTPERFORMER/OUTLOOK _ Be and Make)

Kirloskar Electric Company Ltd (KECL) is engaged in manufacturing electrical equipment’s like AC / DC motors, generators, transformers, switch gears etc., for the past 6 decades. Very reputed brand in electrical equipment in India.

Company's fortunes went wrong after purchasing German company in 2008 period and still it is facing it's repercussions. Sales fallen drastically and all value eroded and company sitting on losses. Recently KECL sold its corporate office in Rajaji Nagar to Brigade Enterprises limited for Rs.55 Cr, out of which Rs. 45 Cr is utilized towards debt repayments and balance Rs.10 crore towards statutory dues payments.



Pro's:
1. Management tries to reduce the debt by selling the land and already sold it's main office and its debt also reduced.
2. The recent JV seems to be the game changer for the company as EV space is one of the biggest opportunity for the next decade.
3. Management trying to improve the margins even though there is a lot of competition.
4. Numbers won't give a picture due to losses.

Cons:
1. Company delivered poor growth in last five years.
2. Promoters pledge is very high.
3. There are on going delays in the bank facilities due to the continuing liquidity issues faced by KECL.
4. The company continued to make cash losses of Rs. 66.19 crore and Rs.54.67 crore in FY18 and 9MFY19 respectively due to poor performance by DG sets and transformers division associated with heavy competition in the electrical equipment industry. Due to cash losses in past 3 years eroded the company’s net worth significantly to negative Rs. 103.5 Cr. However, company has order book position of Rs. 285.15 Cr as on Mar 13, 2019 which is expected to bring in the cash flows to the company upon execution.
4. Earlier, KECL’s German Subsidiary (Lloyd Dynamowerke GmbH & Co.KG *LDW+)’s bankruptcy and impairment of investment had adversely affected the operations of the company in FY15.
5. CARE given rating of "D" to KECL for its long term and short-term debt papers.

What is interesting?
1. Firstly, the company has a huge land bank, worth well over the debt in hand which the company is looking to offload to pare the debt. This could make the company profitable.
2. Company had the 6 odd manufacturing facilities across the country.
3. Most interesting part is EV space. The EV boom taking traction and a very few companies are capable of manufacturing key parts for EV like three phase motors, transformers, switch gear etc., Company already supplied its motors to M&M electric car E20.
4. Kirloskar Electric Company has entered into a joint venture agreement with Electrodrive Powertrain Solutions Private Limited for design, development, sales and supply of electric motors to be used for all types of electric vehicles.
5. The products which proposed Joint Venture will sell and supply will be manufactured solely by Kirloskar Electric Company, the necessary product information, data required for the manufacturing process shall be provided by Joint Venture to the Kirloskar Electric Company.
6. Tata tigor electric car is designed and developed by electrodrive powertrain and Ratan TATA too invested in this company. There are near about 10,000 cars ordered and likely to be dispatched in the upcoming financial year.



Be and Make's observations:
As learning from the sources, EV market is likely to be a big theme for next decade. Kirloskar electric is one of such company which is set to benefit from the EV boom. Company is at all-time low (CMP: 9.5/- on 23.12.19) and one having an aim of one decade can study this stock. If you are a short to medium term view don't look in to it. As it is posting continuous losses its numbers cannot be studied or analysed at present hence I am not going too much in to the present numbers. It is going to be a turnaround stock and likely to give good top and bottom line numbers in the upcoming years.
With thanks
Advance wishes
Be and Make
http://stockstowin.blogspot.com

FOR DETAILED REPORT IN PDF: KECL KIRLOSKAR ELECTRIC BEANDMAKE
Note: The above article is not a research report but it is a information as available on public domain and it should not be treated as a research report. It is just a study which I/we observed and recording them as a dairy of mine/us. 
Registration status with SEBI: I am not registered with SEBI under the (Research Analyst) regulations 2014 and as per clarifications provided by SEBI: “Any person who makes recommendation or offers an opinion concerning securities or public offers only through public media is not required to obtain registration as research analyst under RA Regulations”
Disclosure: It is safe to assume that i/we might have positions in my/our portfolio and hence my/our point of view can be biased. Readers should consult their financial advisory before any investments as above information is only for to study a stock only and it is not an investment advice.



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